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I predict Apple as a company will fall in less than 10 years. The iPhone and the Hardware is so deep in their DNA that they just won’t be able to adapt to the revolution that is coming that is AI “human interface”. They will share same fate with Nokia. AI for Apple will be same as smartphones were for Nokia. It’s over.
Phones haven't replaced computers in nearly 20 years. Hard to image a world in which human connectivity through hardware doesn't exist.
 
Technology is ever evolving…
What did people say about personal computing in the 70s? About smartphones in the 90s?
And then Apple introduced VPro in 2024…

A new form factor and new capabilities are coming, just a question of when, not if
 
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I predict that in 10 years everyone will be so satisifed with bug and glitch free apple devices and software that aliens on mars will be able to hear the entire earth singing kumbaya in unison. Either that or they will rename the forum.

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10 years is a long time in terms of tech. Sure today's iPhones are going to be paper weights at that point. It is like predicting computers will be faster in 10 years then they are now. The iPhone could morph into something completely different, but there will always be some device we use to connect unless someone is thinking AI will take over communication for us and we won't have to talk to anyone ever again.
This is always an interesting thought experiment. While I agree with your premise, the last 10 years really hasn’t seen dramatic changes in the technology we use. 10 years ago was 2015 (crazy, I know!) and it really doesn’t feel like there has been anything but incremental changes. If you take other 10 year periods like 1985 to 1995, 1995 to 2005, and 2005 to 2015 there were huge changes that altered society in each period, but the last 10 don’t really seem that consequential. AI has the potential to be defining for the next 10 but perhaps not in the ways we are imagining it right now.
 
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AI technology is advancing so rapidly that the iPhone could be outdated in the next decade, Apple services chief Eddy Cue said today when testifying in the Google vs. DoJ antitrust case (via Bloomberg).

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"You may not need an iPhone 10 years from now, as crazy as it sounds," Cue said. He was referring to the way that AI is likely to evolve in the coming years, and how wearables combined with intuitive AI functionality could replace traditional smartphones.

The iPhone is still Apple's key revenue driver, and Apple so far hasn't been able to find its next big product that could replace the iPhone as main money maker. Apple canceled its car project, and its first VR headset hasn't sold well. Apple is now focusing on robotics, and is continuing to work on wearables that could eventually lead to augmented reality smart glasses that would be a viable iPhone alternative.

Cue was, of course, just speculating, and Apple still has multiple iPhone innovations that are set to come out over the next several years. Apple could debut its first foldable iPhone as soon as next year, and in 2027, Apple is looking to introduce an all-display iPhone that has no cutouts for the camera or Face ID. So far, AI-based wearables have not successfully replaced smartphones. The Humane AI Pin was a failure, and the Rabbit R1 was also lambasted for poor performance when it launched last year. Other companies are also working on AI screen-free wearables, but none have caught on as of yet.

Cue was testifying due to Apple's search engine deal with Google, which is likely to be prohibited as part of the antitrust remedies that Google is facing to address its dominance in the search market.

Cue said that AI search solutions are poised to replace traditional search engines, and Apple is considering adding AI search tools from companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Perplexity to Safari in the future as options for people to select. Apple stands to lose at least $20 billion per year if Google isn't able to pay to be the default Safari search engine.

Article Link: Apple's Eddy Cue: AI Could Replace iPhone in 10 Years
Um no thanks, I prefer hardware rather than AI slop that does stuff I didn’t ask or gets confused.
 
If Apple truly believe at the most senior level that AI will become an existential threat to their primary source of revenue, they absolutely would not be behaving the way they have been with regard to AI development. By now they would have an extremely functional, market leading AI product of their own, to protect their business. Instead they have Siri. I just don’t buy it, Eddie.
 
Technology is ever evolving…
What did people say about personal computing in the 70s? About smartphones in the 90s?
And then Apple introduced VPro in 2024…

A new form factor and new capabilities are coming, just a question of when, not if
I guarantee that nobody will be walking around the streets wearing those stupid VPro goggles instead of using an iPhone in 10 years.
 
the Achilles heal surely to is argument is that the kind of hardware that runs AI currently is the size of a filing cabinet or two, ten years to shrink that down to something that would fit into a badge or a watch or in a pair of smart glasses is a lot of asking, believe it when I see it
 
I predict Apple as a company will fall in less than 10 years. The iPhone and the Hardware is so deep in their DNA that they just won’t be able to adapt to the revolution that is coming that is AI “human interface”. They will share same fate with Nokia. AI for Apple will be same as smartphones were for Nokia. It’s over.
I don’t think it’s over for Apple just yet - but yeah genai is existential for them.

Yes, Chatbots hallucinate. But this is because we are all in a Public alpha mass testing phase with them. They will drastically improve.

So it’s critical they they somehow anyhow get to be industry leading in them.

Else they will end up more like Sony than Nokia. Still around. Making nice hardware. But not essential.
 
If Apple truly believe at the most senior level that AI will become an existential threat to their primary source of revenue, they absolutely would not be behaving the way they have been with regard to AI development. By now they would have an extremely functional, market leading AI product of their own, to protect their business. Instead they have Siri. I just don’t buy it, Eddie.
Big companies do sometimes make big dumb mistakes.

Look at Microsoft dismissing the iPhone and basically missing out on the smartphone revolution.

Sometimes complacency and arrogance can set it.
 
Anyone who thinks these so-called AI services are going to replace legitimate tools is either an idiot or has never used them. Then again, I can totally see these companies trying to illegitimately force this garbage upon us anyway.

Ah yes, there are no practical applications to any of the AI stuff so far and it’s not advancing quickly at all.
 
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Priorities.

They prioritized AI to sound human. As for actually pulling accurate data, it’s a mixed bag. So what does humanity do? Double down on making it more human. The errors? Eh… it’s good enough.

AI is a joke. It could be good if it didn’t have built in biases and controls that will be used against citizens. Leave it to humanity to **** that up too.

Crash course on extinction. Chapter 3.
 
Ah yes, there are no practical applications to any of the AI stuff so far and it’s not advancing quickly at all.
There are plenty of practical applications, just not for tools whose output you can't trust. There would have to be a radical re-thinking or innovation in this area before any of these services could provide genuine benefits. That certainly could happen, but with the manner in which things are advancing for the time being, that doesn't look particularly likely.
 
I agree with cue.

Just watch the movie ‘her’ to see how we will likely interact with an ai agent on a device via earbuds.

Then add some smart glasses to the mix.

It’s not far fetched to think that in 10 years we will have edge ai that ‘phones home’ to more a more powerful cloud based AI (I mean this happens now!)

Plus your device doing the heavy lifting for your glasses and earbuds.

You’ll still have some sort of device but it’ll be in your pocket mostly.

You’ll use voice (for those that can speak/hear) to interact with your assistant, with more detailed results able to be viewed on your device and/or smart glasses.

Will this device still be an iPhone? Maybe. But we won’t be looking at its screen that much.

It’s perfectly feasible to imagine Apple producing hardware like I outlined above.

It’s not at all certain that Apple can produce an ai agent that could make all of this work, given the state of Siri.

And it’ll be perfectly possible for google and meta and other entrants to come up with such a set up.
 
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